Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.493133 0.579230 0.673838 0.785233 0.912505 1.053077 1.219777
2024-10-13 0.358321 0.471264 0.607695 0.783394 1.002286 1.264521 1.600815
2024-10-20 0.269287 0.391649 0.552256 0.775611 1.074814 1.457986 1.981331
2024-10-27 0.209436 0.333481 0.508766 0.769419 1.140922 1.644084 2.368056
2024-11-03 0.172630 0.298057 0.487234 0.785383 1.233436 1.869538 2.825232
2024-11-10 0.143364 0.266962 0.464945 0.793910 1.312287 2.079523 3.276656
2024-11-17 0.119759 0.239580 0.442664 0.797015 1.380108 2.276176 3.722368
2024-11-24 0.102644 0.219566 0.428363 0.809315 1.461148 2.497016 4.219551
2024-12-01 0.087447 0.199719 0.410614 0.812179 1.525139 2.694307 4.693251
2024-12-08 0.071238 0.174264 0.378222 0.783958 1.531825 2.797558 5.022352
2024-12-15 0.064064 0.165991 0.376759 0.811378 1.637229 3.070930 5.647378
2024-12-22 0.057474 0.157562 0.373481 0.834394 1.736015 3.339401 6.281491
2024-12-29 0.053828 0.155490 0.383516 0.885849 1.894613 3.727701 7.154430
2025-01-05 0.045865 0.141159 0.365142 0.877409 1.938444 3.915916 7.693502
2025-01-12 0.038971 0.127846 0.346717 0.866139 1.975017 4.092992 8.224378
2025-01-19 0.033373 0.116570 0.330964 0.858195 2.016690 4.281476 8.787018
2025-01-26 0.029910 0.110504 0.326713 0.875283 2.111338 4.576845 9.565475
2025-02-02 0.026512 0.103734 0.319517 0.884456 2.189678 4.845550 10.309853
2025-02-09 0.023315 0.096715 0.310429 0.887783 2.255255 5.093029 11.028104
2025-02-16 0.020913 0.091673 0.305776 0.901268 2.344347 5.393406 11.866402
2025-02-23 0.018455 0.085708 0.297485 0.904400 2.409939 5.649647 12.632125
2025-03-02 0.015323 0.076211 0.277140 0.873368 2.392847 5.731863 13.053718
2025-03-09 0.014248 0.074408 0.279606 0.903509 2.523597 6.135663 14.150915